It sounds tired, trite, hackneyed, even a little specious,
especially when it's become little more than a marketing slogan used to
describe just about any housing market, no matter how bleak or bright.
However, right now, the popular refrain, "It's a good time to
buy," resonates with a more resolute ring of truth.
Home sales are taking a dive, prices are tumbling, mortgage rates
are relatively low, builders and sellers are offering concessions, and
the most recent forecasts say the market is hovering just at or above
bottom.
Given no one can actually pinpoint the bottom except in hindsight --
after the market rebounds -- waiting for that elusive place in time is
as risky for buyers as it for sellers waiting for the market to peak.
But before you rush out the door in a frenzied attempt to stay one
step ahead of the bottom feeders, remember that a "good time to
buy" for you may not be the same "good time to buy" for
someone else.
Personal considerations trump the generalities.
Instead of making the home-buying decision based solely on market
conditions, consider it in a more holistic context.
It's only a good time for you to buy a home, typically, when owning
is cheaper than renting and a home purchase is a natural fit for your
financial needs, goals, obligations and lifestyle.
Consider market
conditions -- it's wise to buy low and sell high -- but also
examine your complete financial picture, other goals in life and plans
for your family.
It's not easy.
The current market offers a big carrot.
"Today, with the real estate market slowing in many parts of
the country, all the market fundamentals show that buyers are now in
the driver's seat," said Jerry Howard, CEO of the National
Association of Home Builders (NAHB), in a recently release.
"Consider the facts: prices are competitive, rates are low, the
selection of homes is high in all price ranges and sellers are ready to
bargain," he added.
Right now, however, if you take the plunge but can't tread water
until the market again surges with waves of home price appreciation,
you could sink.
On the other hand, if you don't take the plunge and home price
appreciation swells, well, you could be priced out of the market --
grounded.
"First-time home buyers who choose to 'play it safe' and keep
renting are essentially postponing the opportunity to build household
wealth. Currently, with rental vacancy rates tightening, they can
probably expect to see an increase in the rent they pay. No one can
accurately predict the peaks and valleys of the housing market. If you
try waiting for the absolute best deal, you could end up literally
waiting for years, missing out on the opportunity to become a homeowner
while prices are moderating," NAHB advises.
It's a real Catch-22.
Over the long haul, real estate prices and values rise,
historically, by an average of about 5 to 6 percent annually. At that
rate, the value of homes doubles every 13 years, says the NAHB. Your
market may do better or worse.
Will it pay to buy and hold now or stick to your current investment
and savings plans now and buy in the future? As you wait to buy, will
your financial planning generate the same rate of return or more than
you could expect from a home investment?
How will you compare the value of the tangible asset that comes with
owning a home? It's not just an investment, but also your own roof over
your head.
You don't have to make the decision alone, you probably shouldn't,
but you should make the decision.
Get professional financial planning help, expert tax advise and some
experienced real estate and investment insight.
Maybe it is a good time for you to buy a home. Maybe it isn't.
But current market conditions do indicate it is a good time to
decide.